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New polls show tight races in battlegrounds


Credit Illustration by Tom Bachtell

Clinton has said the Clinton Foundation would stop taking foreign and corporate contributions if she were elected (she should go further, by severing all family ties with the foundation) while Trump has no plans to minimize such conflicts of interest – or even to disclose them. At a rally in Pensacola, Florida, on Friday, he said Clinton is “so protected” that “she could walk into this arena right now and shoot somebody with 20,000 people watching, right smack in the middle of the heart”.

We have extended that research with new polling from the current campaign. Donald Trump has impeccable timing. The search for those responsible for this course of events might start with the leaders of the Republican Party. Men back Trump 48 – 41 percent, compared to 49 – 44 percent last month.

Clinton’s supporters blame the media for playing to that antipathy.

Clinton has recently reached out to Republicans wary of Trump. According to the new Washington Post/Survey Monkey poll of the presidential race, the two top candidates are nearly dead-even in Texas, something that in the past would have been unthinkable in a deep red state.

Donald Trump, the real estate mogul turned Republican presidential nominee who jumpstarted his campaign by calling Mexicans “rapists”, may have actually managed to accomplish something Democrats in Texas have been striving toward for decades: to turn the state, if not blue, at least purple. According to the Emerson poll, Clinton leads Trump by just 3 points, well within the statistical margin of error. Clinton’s flaws aren’t just smaller than Trump’s, they are not on the same scale.

Trump, for his part, brags about what he portrays as a storied career in public corruption.

The campaign said Trump will call for increasing the number of military ships and planes as well as bolstering missile defense systems and sea-based missile defense. But you know what?

During his speech Mr Trump attacked Mrs Clinton as “trigger-happy and very unstable”. So had the theories that a Secret Service officer standing behind her was a nefarious doctor equipped with an autoinjector to revive her after seizures. The polls were off by twelve points, in many cases, in the referendum and it made me worry that this may be such an unusual election cycle that polls will be quite substantially inaccurate and that people who think they can cast a safe vote in opposition and not bear any responsibility for Trump’s election. While it is understandable that desperate candidates will continue to solicit the endorsements, it would also be understandable – and desirable – if more and more officers said, “Thanks for the invitation, but I care too much about the military institution to harm it in this way”. The e-mail story may be overblown, yet it is a cautionary tale about the risks of giving in to those instincts. More freewheeling encounters with groups of reporters will serve her well, particularly in preparing for the debates. Trump and his advisers have taken a strikingly pro-Putin line, and Trump and his advisers also have had extensive financial ties to Russian Federation.

Clinton’s initial remark about a “basket of deplorables” recalled comments about voters – also at private fundraisers – that have tripped up past presidential nominees. But there’s something to be said for a high standard all around.